Future industries, emerging industries and traditional industries are closely related, and gradients evolve. The process of future industrial development is essentially a cutting-edge technological breakthrough that accelerates the process of industrialization and is at the wrong stage of technological and industrial innovation. New and emerging industries, for their part, have initially completed major technological tests and have developed more explicit industrial patterns and development models. It can be said that emerging industries are the inevitable result of future industrial development, which is an essential stage in emerging industries. After a period of nurturing and incubation, the future industry has largely evolved towards new industries with relatively clear technological paths and relatively mature industrial models. According to some scholars, the future industry of the current layout should be a strategic and emerging industry 15 or 30 years later, and would be a strategic and emerging industry of that time. Over a longer period of time, as the space for technological innovation diminishes and market demand bottlenecks emerge, new and emerging industries that will evolve in the future will enter a state of traditional industrial development that is relatively stable and even declining. Therefore, the core of the development of the future industry is “first-hand” and should be at the forefront of technological innovation, at the front end of industrial incubation, at the forefront of scenario-building, and at the forefront of policy measures。
Smart human robot
The future industry is largely driven by a forward-looking vision of new technological breakthroughs. The future industry is based on subversive, original science and technology innovation, which is not incremental, iterative, integrated innovation of existing technologies, products, but rather radical changes at the level of basic science in the old paradigm of research, the opening of new fields, and the emergence of new routes and clusters of technologies, thus creating new products and services with higher technological content and better applications. As a relatively new industry concept, there is also a lack of convergence among institutions and scholars on the characteristics, direction and focus areas of the future industry, but the future industry must be the product of science and technology support and the results of science and technology innovation that now appear to be at the forefront。
Future industries are organizationally deployed from science, technology and innovation to industrial innovation. Under the traditional international division of labour, sti and industrial development are in many cases separated or even completely disconnected from each other, such as sti and product development in developed countries and production and manufacturing in developing countries. However, the future industry provides an entirely new set of opportunities, from science, technology and innovation to industrial innovation, and innovation chains, industrial chains, financial chains, and the deep integration of the talent chain into the future industrial development trends and inherent requirements. With the cross-fertilization of new technologies, the boundaries between r & d, production and demand tend to become blurred and increasingly integrated. Once future scientific and technological gains are translated into real productivity and the emergence of new products that are both cost-effective and disruptive, the size of the industry will expand exponentially in a short period of time, driving profound changes in consumption landscapes, business models, enterprise organizational structures, etc. In doing so, the “first players” of the future industry will rapidly occupy the new blue sea market, create a pre-competitive advantage and accumulate resources such as technology, data and other resources in large-scale commercialization applications, achieve an iterative leap in core technology and product performance, and construct a moat supported by big data, technical standards, intellectual property rights, etc。
Future industries need a combination of policy-relevant and flexible ecological construction. The emergence and development of subversive, original technologies carries with it great uncertainty. At present, the theoretical direction at the basic scientific level is relatively defined in areas such as artificial intelligence, quantum technology, life sciences, new energy sources, new materials, etc., but when further subdividing the field and the application level, technological innovation presents several branches of routes, some of which are even mutually exclusive, and the difficulty of “spreading rocks across rivers” and finding quasi-technical routes. In fact, the vast majority of technical routes have failed at the conceptual validation and exploratory research stage. Even in a laboratory environment, technologies that are fully feasible may be subject to excessive technological advance, inadequate linkage support and lack of application scenarios, as well as significant risk of failure in long-term error, debugging and iterative optimization. As a result, the future industry's development logic, market development, policy support, institutional mechanisms, etc., are very different from traditional and strategic and emerging industries, and it is imperative to build development models, institutional mechanisms and policy systems that are consistent with future industrial development patterns。
Source / contemporary guizhou, no. 30, 2026
Poster production/obama journalist
